FlyMarshall

Is First Class Worth The Premium? Here’s How I Go About Deciding…

Over the past decade, we’ve seen airlines in the United States do a better job of monetizing premium cabins, including first and business class. Back in the day, first class would be outrageously expensive. Most seats wouldn’t be sold, but rather, would go to people upgrading. Nowadays the percentage of first class seats outright paid for continues to increase, as airlines often decrease the price difference between economy and first class.

In this post, I’d like to share my take on when first class is worth it — how much extra am I willing to pay for a first class seat, and how do I decide whether to try to upgrade or pay outright?

What are the benefits of flying first class?

First it’s probably worth sharing a bit of background, so we’re all on the same page. This post is dedicated to your run of the mill domestic first class experience within the United States — we’re not talking about Emirates’ A380 first class with shower suites and an onboard lounge.

While there’s still significant variance, in general you can expect that a domestic first class ticket includes the following:

  • A seat that is significantly wider and has more legroom — you can expect a wider seat with more shoulder space, and several extra inches of seat pitch, so you can stretch out more easily
  • Free alcohol onboard, and depending on the length of the flight, something to eat
  • Priority check-in, priority security, priority boarding, and priority deplaning
  • Free checked bags
  • More miles or points toward elite qualification, should you be pursuing airline status
  • Generally speaking domestic first class tickets don’t include lounge access — there are exceptions, like some paid first class tickets on Alaska, or select premium routes on American
Don’t get too excited about domestic first class food

One thing to be on the lookout for is that sometimes airlines fly wide body aircraft with fully flat beds on domestic routes, so it could be worth going out of your way (or paying a premium) for these flights. See my post about the best domestic first class flights.

After all, a fully flat bed with direct aisle access…

American’s 777 business class

…looks significantly better than your standard domestic first class seat.

American’s 737 first class

How much do I value first class?

Personally, I conservatively value being in first class over economy at $50 per hour (an hour generally equates to roughly 500 flown miles, if you want to look at it based on distance). There are obviously a lot of variables, but for me that seems like a fair number, and a good starting point for crunching numbers.

I derive value from first class for two simple reasons — the ability to be productive and comfortable. With high speed Wi-Fi increasingly becoming standard on flights, I can be every bit as productive in the air as on the ground. And while domestic first class is hardly anything to get excited about, it is a comfortable place from which to work, and can double as an office.

The extra space goes a long way in first class

Could I work in economy if I had to? Of course. However, it’s quite uncomfortable, and between the lack of privacy (even with a privacy screen someone is usually staring at my screen), the general lack of shoulder space (I have to angle my arms uncomfortably to make it work), and someone potentially reclining significantly into my space, it’s just not a pleasant experience. I’m getting old(er). Bones that I didn’t know existed have started to hurt, and if I can avoid this experience at a reasonable cost, then I do.

It’s harder to get work done in these seats

For me domestic first class is purely about the space. Some might appreciate the food or drinks, but the food is rarely good, and I’m not really looking to get drunk “just because” (well, unless I’m flying international first class on a top airline, in which case that’s a good enough occasion for me).

How do I decide whether to pay for first class?

American Airlines is the airline I fly most (given that I live in Miami), and I have Executive Platinum status in the AAdvantage program. In theory that entitles me to unlimited domestic upgrades, but that’s subject to availability. Sometimes those upgrades clear easily, while other times they don’t — increasingly I’m finding they don’t, as American is allegedly selling 80% of domestic first class seats.

How do I go about deciding whether to pay for first class, or chance it with an upgrade?

First of all, I analyze the odds of my upgrade clearing:

  • How many first class seats are left for sale at the time of booking? If first class is mostly booked way in advance, it’s unlikely that many upgrades will clear, and on top of that, not all planes have the same ratio of first class seats to economy class seats
  • How competitive are upgrades in a market? Generally a Dallas to Los Angeles upgrade will be more competitive than a Chicago to Billings upgrade
  • How many extra legroom economy and exit row seats are occupied at the time of booking? This is generally a good indication of how many other elites are on the flight, since they can generally assign these seats in advance
  • Is there a way to confirm an upgrade in advance, like with a systemwide upgrade, or a reasonably priced cash upgrade?

Then I also often apply a discount to the fare difference. For example, say I’m looking at an American Airlines ticket, and the fare difference between economy and first class is $200:

  • As an Executive Platinum member I earn 11x AAdvantage miles per dollar spent, and I value those miles at 1.5 cents each; to me that’s an incremental 16.5% return on spending
  • If I pay with my Amex Platinum I earn 5x Membership Rewards points per dollar spent, and I value those at 1.7 cents each; to me that’s an incremental 8.5% return on spending

Between those two factors, I’m getting a 25% return on my spending. That lowers my real “out of pocket” from $200 to $150.

Beyond those considerations, I make decisions on a case-by-case basis. In other words, if I value first class at $50 extra per hour, and if I think I have a 50% chance of an upgrade clearing, I might be willing to pay an extra $25 per hour of flying to outright pay for first class.

I consider several factors when deciding whether to pay for first class

Some examples of deciding between fares

In general I find that Delta does the best job with its first class pricing, at least based on my willingness to pay. With Delta more often than not I find that first class pricing is right at the breakeven point based on my math.

I don’t have status with Delta, so if I want to fly first class, I have to pay. Take a Miami to Boston flight on Delta for example, where non-basic economy class costs $158 (the $118 price is for basic economy), and first class costs $308.

Comparing Delta Air Lines fare options

Would I pay an extra $150 to essentially sit in a first class seat for well over three hours? Probably, especially when you consider that I really only view this as costing ~$128, after factoring in the value of the incremental miles I’d be earning. That’s well under $50 per hour.

For a similar yet slightly different example, let’s take a Tampa to Chicago flight on American, where (non-basic) economy costs $150, and first class costs $326.

Comparing American Airlines fare options

Would I pay an extra $176 to essentially sit in a first class seat for roughly three hours? Keep in mind that I apply a 25% discount to that difference (to account for the 11x AAdvantage miles and 5x Membership Rewards points I’d earn), so that really only costs me an extra ~$132.

On the surface the math isn’t that different than the Delta example above — the flight is slightly shorter and the upgrade is slightly more expensive. The major consideration here is that I actually have semi-decent odds of clearing an upgrade on American given my higher status, unlike on Delta. So in this case I’d decide whether to pay for first class based on how full first class is looking, and what I think my odds of an upgrade are.

For a last example, let’s take a look at a Fort Lauderdale to Houston to Puerto Vallarta itinerary on United, where (non-basic) economy costs $296, and first class (or business class, as it’s marketed here) costs $416.

Comparing United Airlines fare options

Would I pay an extra $120 to essentially sit in a first class seat for roughly six hours? I’d first apply a discount to account for the miles I’d earn, so it’s really costing me right around $100. Is that worth it for roughly six hours in first class? Absolutely, this one is a no-brainer.

At least that’s how I approach these situations based on my specific circumstances — for others, I think it’s worth considering whether you have status more generally, and what value that gets you. In some cases elite status may already get you free checked bags, extra legroom economy seating, priority boarding, etc., in which case that reduces the incremental value of first class.

Conversely, if you don’t have status and know you’re going to be checking two bags, you can subtract the cost of that from the price difference. You could also factor in if you’d otherwise pay for extra legroom economy seats, priority boarding, etc.

Since all of the above examples are situations where I would pay for first class, let me also give an example of where I wouldn’t. Let’s take a Miami to Seattle flight, where (non-basic) economy costs $169, and first class costs $1,101.

Comparing American Airlines fare options

So first class costs $932 more than economy. Even applying a 25% discount to account for the difference in points earned, that’s like a $700 difference. Even with a block time of nearly seven hours, that’s like paying over $100 per hour more, which is more than I value first class.

In that situation, my strategy would be to pay for economy, and then hope for a reasonably priced cash upgrade as the departure date approaches. Alternatively, I’d use my typical strategy of redeeming Alaska Atmos Rewards points on American, as I find availability often opens up.

Bottom line

Everyone values first class differently, so there’s no consistent formula for calculating how much of a premium it’s worth paying, especially given how many variables there are.

Personally I value first class at ~$50 per hour over economy, and that’s largely because I can work productively in first class, while it’s a struggle in economy. That doesn’t even account for such things as generally being comfortable, getting a meal and free drinks, earning bonus elite qualifying miles, etc.

When deciding what to book, I also factor in my upgrade chances, as well as the miles I’m earning for the difference in fare, since I view that as a discount.

Under what circumstances do you consider paying for first class?

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